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November 23, 2020  •  Issue 20:11:02

                         Savvy adaptation, potential


                           stimulus brighten outlook





                                                               and drive-through rose 22 percent over the third quarter of
                                                               2019, while dine-in orders fell by 62 percent.

                                                               "While some of the steep transaction and traffic declines
                                                               experienced at the height of the mandated shelter-at-
                                                               home and dine-in closures have been recovered, many
                                                               uncertainties lie ahead," said David Portalatin, NPD food
                                                               industry advisor. "But what we do know for certain is
                                                               that consumers continue to rely on restaurants and other
                                                               foodservice outlets to prepare their meals, and there is
                                                               pent-up demand while we wait for a return to normalcy."

                                                               Stoking future spend
                                                               Recent and anticipated government actions could bode
                                                               well for future spending. The Coronavirus Aid, Relief and
                                                               Economic Security Act, passed in March 2020, put billions
                                                               of dollars into the wallets of consumers, with much of that
                                                               money "waterfalling" to merchants and payment processing
        By Patti Murphy                                        companies, said Francisco Alverez-Evangelista, Aite Group
                                                               research associate.
                 he COVID-19 pandemic has had profound
                 impact on the financial well being of individuals  The Paycheck Protection Program, implemented under
                 and businesses. But there is no lack of opportu-  that same legislation, doled out $525 billion in potentially
        T nity for businesses that are quick to adapt. "It's a  forgivable loans to  5.2  million small businesses. And  in
        good time to be in this business," said Bob Carr, CEO and  October the Small Business Administration and Treasury
        chairman of Beyond. Carr has a keen historical perspective  Department implemented a streamlined forgiveness
        on merchant acquiring. He's spent about 30 years running  process that could wipe out repayments on 3.5 million of
        ISOs, including Heartland Payment Systems, which he
        founded and later sold to Global Payments for $4.5 billion.

        While overall transaction numbers are down, they are     Contributed articles inside by:
        beginning to trend upward, especially in hard-hit sectors
        like restaurants, Carr said. After seeing business drop by
        as much as 40 percent in April, restaurants in Beyond's   Adam Niec ...............................................................................................15
        portfolio are now seeing about 10 percent year-over-year   Martin Herlinghaus ..............................................................................16
        growth, he noted.
                                                                 Marc Beauchamp ..................................................................................24
        The  turnaround  can  be  tied  to  digital  and  off-premise   John Cragg ..............................................................................................26
        orders. The market research firm NPD Group reported that
        digital restaurant orders from mobile apps, text messaging   Elaina Smith ............................................................................................28
        and the internet grew by 138 percent during the three
        months ending  on  Sept.  30,  2020,  compared  to  the  same   TOC on page 3
        period in 2019. Off-premise orders from carry-out, delivery
                                                                                      Continued on page 22
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