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November 22, 2021  •  Issue 21:11:02


                      'Tis the season for shopping






                                                               stateside, we're  partnering  closely  with  our vendors and
                                                               transportation partners to move it quickly to our stores,
                                                               keeping our shelves well-stocked and ready for guests," the
                                                               company said.

                                                               Challenges  remain  for  smaller  merchants,  however.  "[P]
                                                               roducts may be tied up and the costs of moving them, once
                                                               here, are still elevated," Bartashus said. Technology giant
                                                               Oracle warned that consumers could sour on merchants
                                                               that lack sufficient inventory. Among those it surveyed in
                                                               September 2021, 47 percent said out-of-stock merchandise
                                                               topped their list for a bad shopping experience.
                                                               Banner year for spending

                                                               The NRF predicted year-end holiday shopping will
        By Patti Murphy                                        generate between $843.4 billion and $859 billion in sales
                                                               this year, a jump of between 8.5 percent and 10.5 percent
                 he 2021 year-end holiday shopping season is  over 2020. The anticipated increases compare an average
                 shaping up to be the largest on record. That is,  year-over-year growth rate of 4.4 percent over the past five
                 provided businesses manage to keep enough  years. Retailers rang up $196.7 billion in sales during the
        T merchandise  on shelves to meet pent-up con-         2020 year-end holiday season.
        sumer demand.
                                                               NRF's numbers exclude sales by automobile dealers, gas
        "Pandemic-related  supply   chain   disruptions  have  stations and restaurants. In the federation's Monthly
        caused shortages of merchandise and most of this year's  Economic Review, Kleinhenz wrote, "Consumers are in a
        inflationary pressure," said Jack Kleinhenz, chief economist  very favorable position going into the last months of the
        at the National Retail Federation. Complicating matters  year and are spending because they can." NRF's president
        will be the early shopping plans of many consumers, which  and CEO Michael Shay concurred, stating, "There is
        could pull down inventories sooner than expected, he  considerable momentum heading into the holiday shopping
        noted. "However, if retailers can keep merchandise on the  season."
        shelves and merchandise arrives before Christmas, it could
        be a stellar holiday sales season," he added.

        While supply chain issues have only recently been on     Contributed articles inside by:
        the minds of consumers, that's not the case for retailers.   Tom Byrnes .............................................................................................17
        "Planning for the holiday season happens months in
        advance, and many retailers took extra measures to ensure   Jeff Fortney .............................................................................................29
        they ordered early, found some sort of capacity and started
        building inventory earlier than  usual," said Jennifer   Chad Otar ................................................................................................32
        Bartashus, senior analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.     Ellie Y. Katz ..............................................................................................34

        Target, for example, chartered its own container ship to   TOC on page 3
        avoid delays and backed up ports, the company stated
        in a recent letter to customers. "Once products arrive
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