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ReadersSpeak

Presidential election's impact on payments                                                  was criticized across the indus-
                                                                                            try as it attempted to hold pay-
W e've heard from several readers who would like to hear what                               ments companies liable for the
                  payments industry leaders anticipate the impact the Nov. 8                fraudulent actions of their cus-
                  presidential election will be on our sector. This matter is natu-         tomer merchants. This is akin to
                  rally of interest to all parties on the payments chain, and we will       a computer manufacturer being
cover developments as they occur. We, at The Green Sheet, expect that after                 accountable for a hacker commit-
President-elect Trump takes the oath of office in January 2017, his actions will            ting a crime.
give us much to report on, and we will follow this story as relevant develop-
ments occur.                                                                            •	 The Consumer Financial Protec-
In the meantime, the payments industry experts at The Strawhecker Group                     tion Bureau will likely be tar-
interviewed pundits and industry experts to get an initial impression of what               geted for reform by changing the
changes the election might bring ? including potential positives, negatives and             current Executive branch report-
unknowns. They published their initial findings in a paper titled "Election                 ing structure. Previously held
Impact on the Payments Industry ? TSG's Take."                                              unaccountable to Congress, the
The following excerpt, quoted verbatim, lists the potential positives TSG                   CFPB will be held with a tighter
researchers found:                                                                          leash. While many actions of the
 •	 Wall Street's rally, particularly for national and regional banks, over the             group have been seen as sensible
                                                                                            and needed, others have been
     last 48 hours likely occurred because the president-elect's transition team            seen as misguided, stifling some
     has stated that the 2010 Dodd-Frank will be dismantled. This has been fur-             payments companies.
     ther buoyed by his encouragement of an interest rate hike which has given
     major bank stocks fuel for a rally in price.                                       •	 One of the platforms of President-
 •	 With a new Attorney General set to be named, it is likely that Operation                elect Trump's was to curb federal
     Chokepoint will be shut down by the Justice Department. The operation                  regulation, which would indicate
                                                                                            that further Durbin Amendment
8                                                                                           pricing regulation on credit cards
                                                                                            is unlikely.

                                                                                        •	 The implications of Republicans
                                                                                            holding the House, Senate, and
                                                                                            Executive branch on tax policy
                                                                                            are potentially very impactful.
                                                                                            For example, strategies over how
                                                                                            payments companies structure
                                                                                            themselves will be top of mind if
                                                                                            the corporate income tax rate is
                                                                                            indeed lowered to 15 percent, as
                                                                                            Trump has proposed. Further, if
                                                                                            this lower rate is indeed enacted,
                                                                                            the reinvestment of this windfall
                                                                                            into the market will likely lead
                                                                                            to explosive growth, ultimately
                                                                                            driving up consumer spending –
                                                                                            the lifeblood of the economy and
                                                                                            the payments industry.

                                                                                       The paper's full text is posted at http://
                                                                                       bit.ly/PaymentsImpact.

                                                                                       What do you think
                                                                                       is in store in 2017?

                                                                                       Are you optimistic about your
                                                                                       business prospects for 2017? We'd
                                                                                       love to hear what you expect the next
                                                                                       several months will bring and what
                                                                                       you're planning to do to thrive in
                                                                                       our always changing environment.
                                                                                       We will welcome your thoughts at
                                                                                       greensheet@greensheet.com.
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