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                                                                with consumers and small merchants. In January, Square
                     The noncash payments pie                   Inc. heralded an arrangement with Apple Inc. to offer mer-
                                                                chants discounted contactless card readers and $350 in
             The Federal Reserve Board conducts surveys every three years   processing credits for Apple Pay transactions.
             to assess the size and value of the noncash payments pie. Data
             covering 2015 was published in late 2016. Here's a snapshot of that   "Square plans to most heavily market the promotion at
             most recent data.                                  counter-top merchants, like small retailers, rather than in-
                   •  Americans made 33.8 billion credit card payments   dividual sellers," stated a Feb. 1, 2017, report by BI Intelli-
                     with a combined value of $3.16 trillion – an increase   gence. BI Intelligence analysis suggests the move is part of
                     of 6.9 billion card payments and $610 billion in value   a strategy to generate profits from hardware sales, which
                     since 2012. This works out to an annual growth rate of   generated about $29 million in red ink on Square's balance
                     8 percent by number and 7.4 percent in value between   sheet in 2015 and the first half of 2016.
                     2012 and 2015.                             Banks push P2P in near real time
                   •  Debit card payments (including prepaid debit) totaled
                     69.5 billion with a value of $2.56 trillion. Debit card   Not to be overtaken by nonbank competitors, several large
                     payments  grew  at  an annual  rate  of  7.1  percent  by   banks and bank technology firms are joining forces to
                     number and 6.8 percent by value between 2012 and   create alternative P2P networks. Last year, a consortium
                     2015.                                      that includes the largest banks in the country announced
                   •  Americans made 17.3 billion check payments worth   Zelle, a P2P network that is set to go live in the first half of
                     a total of $26.83 trillion. Check payments fell at an   2017. Zelle is the creation of Early Warning Services LLC,
                     annual rate of 4.4 percent by number and $380 billion   which is owned by several major U.S. banks.
                     by value from 2012 to 2015.
                                                                Once Zelle is operational, consumers will be able to send
                   •  ACH payments totaled 23.5 billion with a combined   payments to each other using email addresses or mobile
                     value  of  $145.3  trillion.  The  total  of  ACH  payments   phone numbers, with same-day funds posted to recipi-
                     grew at an annual rate of 4.9 percent by number and   ents' checking accounts, although funds availability won't
                     4.0 percent by value between 2012 and 2015.  necessarily be immediate.

             To put this data into perspective, consider that a 2016 survey by   "Security concerns, interoperability problems and delays
             Accenture revealed that 60 percent of North American consumers   in funds availability have been persistent challenges to
             use cash at least once a week for POS transactions.  awareness, adoption and usage for non-FI P2P services,"
                                                                noted Talie Baker, an Analyst at Aite Group LLC. "The
                                                                launch of Zelle gives banks a chance to establish a foot-
        veyed, 32 percent of those identified as millennials and 27   hold as the provider of choice for person-to-person pay-
        percent of mass affluents (households with income pro-  ments, and even take back their share of the market from
        ducing assets between $250,000 and $1 million, excluding   non-FI providers."
        real estate) use their mobiles for P2P payments, compared
        with 18 percent of the total.                           According to Early Warning, any financial institution can
                                                                join Zelle. Seventeen financial institutions had signed on
        The largest obstacle to greater adoption, the consultancy   to be part of Zelle as of October 2016; since then, several
        said, is the merchant checkout. "The reality is that mer-  additional banks and leading bank technology companies
        chants have been slow to invest in modern card readers.   have added their names to the member roster.
        Even if people want to pay by smartphone, they often can-
        not," the report stated. It encouraged payment companies   Larry McClanahan, Director of Digital Delivery at Fifth
        and merchants to build "the case for change with incen-  Third Bank said the decision to join Zelle was a response
        tives that unlock inertia."                             to consumer demand. "We looked at what our customers
                                                                want," he said. "They want to make payments now; they
        Deloitte reported that more than 20 applications in the U.S.   don't want to wait for them to process. They want it to be
        marketplace  allow consumers to initiate payments from   easy. And they want the same trust they have in their own
        their debit cards or bank accounts using smartphones.   bank."
        Forrester Research Inc. projected P2P payments will top
        $17 billion in 2019, up from $5 billion in 2014.        Michael Abbott, Managing Director for Digital Financial
                                                                Services at Accenture, believes consumers want more than
        Today, PayPal is one of the best-known P2P payment pro-  just faster payments. "[T]he incentives are not there yet,"
        viders. In addition to online payments, PayPal offers P2P   he said. He  likened  current offerings  to  early computer
        mobile payments via its Venmo unit. Other nonbank op-   games. "Payments providers need to bring the traditional
        tions like Apple Pay and Android Pay are making inroads   card to life and create a real-time interactive experience
                                                                for consumers," he added.


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