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        To understand the implications of lost or delayed paychecks,   Mark Cerminaro, chief revenue officer at Rapid Finance,
        consider this  revelation  from  the  Federal  Reserve:  40   said, "A lot of businesses not directly tied to the [federal]
        percent of adult Americans in 2017 were unable to cover   government – for example restaurants, hotels and livery
        an unexpected expense of $400 without selling something   services – saw some very big impacts which won't be
        or borrowing money. "This is an improvement from half of   recouped." Formerly known as RapidAdvance, Rapid
        adults in 2013 being ill-prepared for such an expense," the   Finance is a Bethesda, Md.-based firm that specializes in
        Fed wrote. But it reflects the fact significant numbers of   lending solutions (like merchant cash advances) for small
        Americans live paycheck to paycheck. The Fed's revelation   businesses. "There are so many ripple effects," Cerminaro
        was contained in its 2017 Report on the Economic Well Being   added. "The small business community is reliant on people
        of U.S. Households in 2017.                             spending money."

        Scores of banks and credit unions came to the aid of    Bracing for future shutdowns
        federal  employees  with  low-cost,  short-term  loans.  "We   Small businesses also have borrowing needs, and many
        understand the financial pressure that many of our      small business loans are facilitated and guaranteed
        customers who serve our nation are now facing and we're   through the Small Business Administration, which was
        here to help," said Andrew Cecere, chairman, president   shuttered in December and January.
        and CEO of U.S. Bank. Not surprisingly, payday lenders
        fared well during the shutdown. One such lender, World   One such business is Port City Brewing Co. in Alexandria,
        Acceptance Corp., saw its stock price rise by nearly 19   Va. "The shutdown affected Port City by furloughing SBA
        percent in January.                                     staff who were working on a loan application for a new
        A $3 billion economic hit                               bottling line. "Because of the closure, we were unable
                                                                to lock in an interest rate, which could increase the cost
        According to the Congressional Budget Office, the       of our loan by thousands of dollars," Bill Butcher, Port
        shutdown diminished the nation's real gross domestic    City's founder, told members of the House Small Business
        product (GDP) for the first quarter of 2019 by $8 billion, or   Committee.
        about 0.2 percent. That's on top of a $3 billion (or 0.1 percent)
        reduction in real GDP for the fourth quarter of 2018. And   "Not only are small business owners unable to get loans
        while some GDP lost during the shutdown is expected     through the SBA during the shutdown, but there will be a
        to be recovered eventually, the CBO estimated about $3   significant backlog once the SBA is operational again," Ben
        billion in foregone economic activity (or an estimated 0.02   Gold, president of QuickBridge, a small business lender,
        percent of 2019 GDP) will never be recovered.           said in a January 24 video distributed to reporters.
                                                                Among small businesses surveyed by QuickBridge in
        "Underlying those effects on the overall economy are    January, 31 percent said the shutdown was having an
        much more significant effects on individual businesses   impact on sales; 30 percent said they expected tax refund
        and workers," CBO Director Keith Hall wrote in a January   delays (which can affect consumer spending) and hiring
        report. "Among those who experienced the largest and    slowdowns.
        most direct negative effects are federal workers who faced
        delayed compensation and private-sector entities that lost   Many businesses that sell to the federal government
        business. Some of those private-sector entities will never   saw sales plummet. "The government shutdown had a
        recoup that lost income."                               measurable impact on my business, my employees, and
                                                                I  imagine  on  all  small  businesses  delivering  services  or
        Hall  said  the  shutdown  "dampened  economic  activity   products to the federal government," Heidi Gerding, CEO
        mainly because of the loss of furloughed federal workers'   of HeiTech Services in Landover, Md., told the House Small
        contribution to GDP,  the delay  in federal  spending  on   Business Committee. "Although some small businesses are
        goods and services, and the reduction in aggregate      claiming that they had little impact, I can only speculate
        demand (which thereby dampened private-sector           that they don't know the full impact to their business or
        activity)." But he added that the agency's estimates are   [they don't] know how to calculate it and/or it is too much
        "subject to considerable uncertainty." For example, Hall   work for them to track."
        noted, the CBO cannot say for certain how federal workers
        and contractors adjusted spending during the five weeks   Many small businesses, and the intermediaries that help
        they went without paychecks.                            these businesses secure SBA backing, have turned to
                                                                alternative lenders, like Rapid Finance and QuickBridge.
        George Sarantopoulos, president of Access One ATM Inc.,   "They're looking for solutions that can meet short-term
        said his firm saw a "significant drop" in ATM transactions   capital needs and serve as a bridge to the long term,"
        during the five-week shutdown. "We have a sizable       Cerminaro said.
        portfolio in the D.C. area, and there's no question that
        there was a drop," he said.                             Complicating matters, the legislation passed by Congress
                                                                in January ending the shutdown was only a temporary fix
                                                                intended to keep agencies running through the middle

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